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Jennifer Lüdtke2026-03-08 14:56:142026-04-07 23:17:05Behind the Lens and Beyond the Microphone: Studying Wildlife with AIWhen discussing the climate crisis — rising temperatures, melting ice — images of icebergs breaking off polar caps and retreating mountain glaciers are among the most striking. They are symbols of a changing world. Yet, there’s a silent player, often overlooked, that deserves just as much attention: permafrost. It is a key element in understanding the effects of climate change.
Permafrost, also known as “perennial frost,” is defined as “any surface (soil, rock, organic matter) that remains below zero degrees Celsius for at least two consecutive years” (Muller S. W., 1943). It consists of an active layer that melts and refreezes seasonally and a deeper layer that remains permanently frozen [1].
In the Northern Hemisphere alone, permafrost covers an estimated 22.8 million square kilometers, spanning Arctic regions and mountainous areas. The environment significantly affects permafrost’s characteristics, particularly its composition and thickness. For example, Arctic permafrost is much deeper than its mountain counterpart: it can exceed 1,200 meters in depth, while in mountain areas, the average thickness ranges between 50 and 120 meters [1]. Moreover, Arctic permafrost contains a third, even deeper layer, formed between 1.8 million and 10,000 years ago, particularly rich in organic matter [2].
Mountain permafrost: when the ground gives way
In high-altitude areas, permafrost plays a crucial role in stabilizing mountain slopes, acting as a natural adhesive between rocks and debris. Its thawing directly impacts ground stability: as it degrades, the soil loses cohesion, increasing the risk of landslides, rockfalls, and debris flows — phenomena that have become increasingly frequent in the Alps due to rising heatwaves.
These events threaten ecosystems and pose risks to infrastructure and local communities [3]. Structures such as mountain huts and cable cars, built on previously stable ground, may suffer structural damage as the ground gives way. This phenomenon is particularly concerning in the Alps, where permafrost thawing compromises the safety of numerous installations [4].
Research and monitoring are then essential to understanding permafrost evolution and developing effective adaptation strategies. Since 2012, in Trentino, the PermaNET project has been focused on permafrost research and monitoring, particularly on rock glaciers.
A recent Swiss study introduces an innovative approach to monitoring permafrost thawing in alpine environments: “microgravimetry.” This technique measures variations in mass within the ground, comparing frozen and thawed areas. When permafrost ice melts, the ground becomes saturated with water, increasing its weight — a change that instruments can precisely detect. This method provides a new tool for studying permafrost degradation and its implications [3].

Figure 1: The effects of global warming in the Alps: where the Ortles Glacier’s tail reached in the mid-19th century, a forest now stands. Trafoi, South Tyrol, Italy. Author, summer 2018.
Arctic permafrost: organic matter is the keyword
While mountain permafrost degradation threatens geological stability, Arctic permafrost thawing has another, perhaps even more concerning, consequence: the release of vast amounts of greenhouse gases.
Arctic permafrost holds a massive reserve of frozen organic matter accumulated over millennia. When the ground thaws, microorganisms decompose this material, releasing carbon dioxide and methane into the atmosphere. Some estimates suggest permafrost contains about twice the amount of carbon currently in the Earth’s atmosphere, making it a potential accelerator of climate change [5].

Figure 2: Green moss and snow cover in the Tundra. Photo by Alin Gavriliuc on Unsplash.
An uncertain future
At COP29 in Baku, while global attention focused on climate finance and the future of fossil fuels, the scientific community presented its annual report on the state of the cryosphere, with a clear and urgent message: “We cannot negotiate with the melting point of ice” [6].
While three possible scenarios have been identified for the future of glaciers, the fate of permafrost remains far more uncertain. Scientists are still unable to precisely predict its behavior or fully quantify its impact in relation to global warming and local temperature fluctuations [6].
As the world debates strategies to tackle the climate crisis, permafrost continues to evolve, silently influencing the planet’s natural balance. Gaining a better understanding of this phenomenon and integrating it into environmental policies is crucial to managing the challenges ahead.
References:
[1] Ciavarelli, E. (2025, February 6). Permafrost, una certezza a rischio – Osservatorio Artico. Osservatorio Artico. https://www.osservatorioartico.it/permafrost-certezza-rischio/
[2] Secci, G. (2024, January 26). Le conseguenze della perdita del permafrost – Osservatorio Artico. Osservatorio Artico. https://www.osservatorioartico.it/retroazione-climatica-positiva/
[3] Jorio, L. (2025, January 15). Breakthrough Swiss research decodes thawing permafrost. SWI swissinfo.ch. https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/climate-change/melting-permafrost-decoded-by-breakthrough-swiss-research/87458699
[4] Bradley, S. (2025, March 11). Melting permafrost threatens mountain regions. What can be done? SWI swissinfo.ch. https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/climate-change/melting-permafrost-threatens-mountain-regions-what-can-be-done/88952465
[5] INGVambiente, T. (2025, March 6). Il permafrost: una bomba ad orologeria per il pianeta. INGVambiente. https://ingvambiente.com/2024/11/12/il-permafrost-una-bomba-ad-orologeria-per-il-pianeta/
[6] Gozzi, A. (2024, December 10). Non possiamo negoziare con il punto di fusione del Ghiaccio – Osservatorio Artico. Osservatorio Artico. https://www.osservatorioartico.it/cop29-criosfera/
Cover image: Tail of the Adamello Glacier in the Italian Alps. Author, summer 2015

This article is part of the project “Quiz Ambientali per un Trentino Più Verde!” carried out by Econtrovertia APS and sponsored by Fondazione Cassa Rurale di Trento (Notice of Approval of December 20, 2024).


















